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INVESTMENTS
Nigeria’s telecom sector is back, baby!

Nigeria’s telecom sector is attracting foreign capital again. And this rekindle looks like it’s here to stay. Foreign direct investment (FDI) into telecommunications rose 23% year-on-year to $392.92 million in the first nine months of 2025, according to the National Bureau of Statistics.

The most dramatic shift came in the third quarter, when inflows jumped to $208.51 million (from $14.74 million in the same period in 2024). After a chaotic 2024, that surge seems to mean renewed confidence in the sector’s foundation.

2024 vs 2025 numbers

In 2024, telecom investment began strongly at $191.57 million in Q1, then fell to $113.42 million in Q2 and collapsed to $14.74 million in Q3. The drop reflected mounting financial strain, forex uncertainty and unresolved industry disputes. In 2025, telcom investments started at $80.78 million and by Q3, they were at $208.51 million

More good news

  • Telcos and banks have settled: For years, telecom operators and banks were locked in a dispute over unpaid charges for USSD services used for mobile banking transactions. At its peak, the exposure approached ₦300 billion, creating uncertainty across both telecom and financial services. Bring out the champagne! That debt has now been cleared.

  • Forex stability positive: Telecom operators earn largely in naira but pay for equipment, bandwidth, and software in foreign currency. During the past three years of forex scarcity, that mismatch created significant financial stress, forcing companies to defer capital expenditure and accumulate foreign obligations. Improved FX liquidity has begun easing that pressure.

  • The law is on their side: regulators approved long-awaited tariff adjustments in 2026; the first major pricing review in 13 years. For investors, pricing reform and regulatory responsiveness signal a more predictable operating environment.

Bottom line:

Nigeria’s telecom sector has moved from defensive survival toward cautious expansion. The clean-up of legacy debt, improved forex conditions and pricing reforms have restored a measure of stability. While the rebound is visible in the numbers, its durability will depend on maintaining policy clarity and macro stability in the months ahead.

Quick Reads
What else is new?

  • β›΅Nigeria’s currency is enjoying a rare stretch of smooth sailing: The naira is steady, due mostly to the stronger foreign exchange inflows and continued dollar sales by the central bank to Bureau de Change agents. On the official market, the currency traded at ₦1,344 to the dollar on Thursday, the 19th of February, strengthening from ₦1,357 a week earlier, while on the parallel market it changed hands at ₦1,385. The narrowing gap between the two rates suggests pressure in the informal market is easing (since the CBN is willing to give, there’s no need for any speculative hoarding, softening the tug-of-war between demand and supply). Traders say the combination of improved FX supply and targeted interventions is helping to ease off the parallel market premium, and if those flows remain steady, the naira could hold firm in the coming days. We know it's giving β€œcelebrate small wins”, but in a market known for its volatility, even a modest stretch of stability feels worth celebrating.

  • πŸ“ˆΒ Debt is homegrown now: Nigeria’s total public debt rose to $103.94 billion (about ₦153.29 trillion; ₦1,474.85 = $1) as of September 30, 2025, according to the latest figures from the Debt Management Office. Domestic debt now makes up the larger share of the country’s exposure, standing at $55.47 billion (₦81.82 trillion), 53.37% of the total, while external debt accounts for $48.46 billion (₦71.48 trillion). Within the domestic portfolio, FGN bonds dominate at roughly ₦61.9 trillion (80% of domestic debt), alongside ₦12.68 trillion in Treasury Bills and ₦1.29 trillion in Sukuk bonds, a clear sign of the government’s continued reliance on local borrowing through banks, pension funds, and other investors. By tier, the Federal Government is responsible for $52.76 billion (₦77.81 trillion), over half of total debt, while states and the FCT account for $2.71 billion (₦4.00 trillion). The heavier domestic share means the debt is less exposed to exchange rate swings and gives the FG more control, but it also puts ordinary people, like pensioners, at risk. In a country where pensions are often β€œborrowed” and sometimes only paid by force, this is the kind of debt story that hits closer to home.

  • πŸ₯³Β Risevest is officially β€œabove board”: After months of regulatory back-and-forth, Nigerian fintech startup Risevest has secured a Fund and Portfolio Manager licence from the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) through its subsidiary RV Fund Management Limited, bringing its investment operations under official oversight and ending a long spell of uncertainty. The milestone comes after the SEC warned Nigerians in early 2025 against investing on the platform due to licensing concerns and months of rigorous review by the regulator. At the height of the dispute, Risevest kept users’ funds secure under a trusteeship arrangement with Meristem Trustees Limited and leaned on its 2023 acquisition of Chaka, which already had a valid trading licence. With the new SEC nod, Risevest now joins other licensed fintechs like Bamboo and Trove, positioning itself to tap into Nigeria’s booming retail investment market: investor trades jumped 88% month-on-month to ₦516.5 billion ($384 million) in July 2025.

CREATOR ECONOMY
Dangote Refinery is letting Nigerians buy shares

Photo via World Trade Hub

Dangote Refinery is basically the country’s new industrial playground. Aliko Dangote says Nigerians will soon be able to buy shares directly in the $20 billion facility, with dividends payable in naira or dollars. NNPC currently holds a 7.25% stake on behalf of the public, but soon everyone can get a slice of the action.

The refinery is already showing it can handle business

800 tankers have docked at its marine terminal since it kicked off operations in January 2024, and the facility expects about 600 tanker calls a year at full capacity of 650,000 barrels per day.

Dangote Refinery CEO, David Bird, says the refinery isn’t a β€œtramline” operation tied to one crude source. It’s a flexible, merchant-style hub that buys feedstock globally and exports finished products worldwide.

Expansion plans are also in view

Dangote just signed a $400 million equipment deal with China’s Xuzhou Construction Machinery Group. The aim? 1.4 million bpd capacity, triple urea production in Nigeria, and Africa’s biggest linear alkylbenzene output for detergents. Basically, if it’s industrial, Dangote wants to do it bigger and faster.

And yes, the refinery will be a game-changer for Nigeria’s fuel supply, industrial output, and maritime trade. Nigerians, apparently, can now invest and watch it all unfold.

Enter: President Tinubu

In a move that complements the refinery’s growth, President Bola Tinubu signed Executive Order 9 of 2026, ensuring all royalties, taxes, and profit oil and gas proceeds go straight into the Federation Account. The goal: no more hidden deductions, more money for schools, healthcare, and infrastructure, and a more transparent, accountable oil sector.

TL;DR: Dangote Refinery is booming, Nigerians can soon buy shares, and Tinubu just made sure every naira from oil and gas hits the Federation Account.

(Other) things we’re loving

  • Listen: The Archivi.ng documents how the ill treatment of a sick old woman in a colonial hospital in Lagos leads to a tragic end and incites public outrage and advocacy, laying the foundations of Nigeria’s modern healthcare system. History in 20 minutes

  • Listen: Allison P. Davis wrote "My Tinder Decade" a New York Magazine cover about being on the dating app from the very beginning. How has Tinder changed? She gets into it with Joel Stein on Story of the week

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β€” The Daily Bread team

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